Insider Signal Report — 2026-11-05
Scan covers trades filed 2026-10-31 → 2026-11-05 (2-day filing lag accounted for) | 6 qualifying trades scanned | 3 signals detected
★★★★★ Conviction Bottom
Criteria: C-Suite ≥$1M + Prior 30d −10% to −20%
C-suite executive (CEO/CFO/COO/CTO/President/Chairman) buying ≥$1M after the stock declined 10–20% in the prior 30 calendar days. Most robust combined signal in the dataset: ~58–63% win rate, EV +35–40% at 12–15m. Near-term pain is expected — must hold full 12 months.
Target Hold: 12–15 months
| Ticker | Company | Trade Date | Insider | Title | Value | Prior 30d | C-Suite | New Pos | Also Qualifies |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LSCC | LATTICE SEMICONDUCTOR CORP | 2026-11-04 | Tamer Ford | President & CEO | $1.0M | -19.3% | ✓ | — | S2 |
★★★★ Informed Accumulation
Criteria: Repeat Buyer + Prior 30d −10% to −20%
Insider with a prior purchase in the same ticker within 2 years, adding to position after a 10–20% pullback. Deep institutional knowledge + deliberate price discipline. EV ~20–30%+ at 12–15m. Cross-check business quality — serial buyers into structural decline are noise.
Target Hold: 12–15 months
| Ticker | Company | Trade Date | Insider | Title | Value | Prior 30d | C-Suite | New Pos | Also Qualifies |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ENPH | Enphase Energy, Inc. | 2026-11-02 | Kothandaraman Badrinarayanan | President & CEO | $268K | -16.5% | ✓ | — | — |
★★ Fallen Knife w/ Insider Backstop
Criteria: Insider Buy After >40% Prior-Month Decline (Speculative)
Any insider buying after >40% prior-month decline. High variance: catastrophic short-term losses but EV +122% at 15m in historical data. Best for structural overshoots in cyclicals/biotech — NOT for fraud or irreversible competitive decline. Max 2–3% position. Hold ≥15 months.
Target Hold: 15 months (minimum)
| Ticker | Company | Trade Date | Insider | Title | Value | Prior 30d | C-Suite | New Pos | Also Qualifies |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| INTC | INTEL CORP | 2026-11-02 | TAN LIP BU | CEO | $9.7M | -48.4% | ✓ | — | — |
Notable Buys — No Strategy Match
Trades ≥$500,000 that didn't meet any strategy filter. Often in the −5% to 0% prior-return zone (weakest bucket) or missing price data.
| Ticker | Company | Trade Date | Insider | Title | Value | Prior 30d | C-Suite | New Pos | Also Qualifies |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BA | BOEING CO | 2026-10-30 | Buckley Mortimer J | maybe director | $998K | -7.8% | — | — | — |
| CAT | CATERPILLAR INC | 2026-11-02 | Fish James C Jr | maybe director | $620K | -27.5% | — | ✓ | — |
| BA | BOEING CO | 2026-10-30 | MOLLENKOPF STEVEN M | maybe director | $510K | -7.8% | — | ✓ | — |
Signal Summary
| Rating | Strategy | Signals |
|---|---|---|
| ★★★★★ | Conviction Bottom | 1 |
| ★★★★ | Informed Accumulation | 1 |
| ★★★★ | Fresh Conviction Entry | 0 |
| ★★★ | Momentum Confirmation | 0 |
| ★★ | Fallen Knife w/ Insider Backstop | 1 |
Generated 2026-11-05 · Strategies based on backtests 2021–2026 on US insider purchases