Insider Signal Report — 2026-09-12
Scan covers trades filed 2026-09-07 → 2026-09-12 (2-day filing lag accounted for) | 8 qualifying trades scanned | 3 signals detected
★★★★★ Conviction Bottom
Criteria: C-Suite ≥$1M + Prior 30d −10% to −20%
C-suite executive (CEO/CFO/COO/CTO/President/Chairman) buying ≥$1M after the stock declined 10–20% in the prior 30 calendar days. Most robust combined signal in the dataset: ~58–63% win rate, EV +35–40% at 12–15m. Near-term pain is expected — must hold full 12 months.
Target Hold: 12–15 months
| Ticker | Company | Trade Date | Insider | Title | Value | Prior 30d | C-Suite | New Pos | Also Qualifies |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UPST | Upstart Holdings, Inc. | 2026-09-10 | Gu Paul | Chief Executive Officer | $1.3M | -16.0% | ✓ | — | S2 |
| TSN | TYSON FOODS, INC. | 2026-09-04 | Schomburger Jeffrey K | President & CEO Elect | $1.0M | -10.8% | ✓ | ✓ | S3 |
★★★★ Informed Accumulation
Criteria: Repeat Buyer + Prior 30d −10% to −20%
Insider with a prior purchase in the same ticker within 2 years, adding to position after a 10–20% pullback. Deep institutional knowledge + deliberate price discipline. EV ~20–30%+ at 12–15m. Cross-check business quality — serial buyers into structural decline are noise.
Target Hold: 12–15 months
| Ticker | Company | Trade Date | Insider | Title | Value | Prior 30d | C-Suite | New Pos | Also Qualifies |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PVH | PVH CORP. /DE/ | 2026-09-11 | Larsson Stefan | Chief Executive Officer | $1000K | -13.4% | ✓ | — | — |
Notable Buys — No Strategy Match
Trades ≥$500,000 that didn't meet any strategy filter. Often in the −5% to 0% prior-return zone (weakest bucket) or missing price data.
| Ticker | Company | Trade Date | Insider | Title | Value | Prior 30d | C-Suite | New Pos | Also Qualifies |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GME | GameStop Corp. | 2026-09-10 | Cohen Ryan | President, CEO and Chairman | $20.4M | +8.3% | ✓ | — | — |
| AMR | Alpha Metallurgical Resources, Inc. | 2026-09-08 | Courtis Kenneth S. | maybe director | $2.3M | +45.5% | — | — | — |
| GME | GameStop Corp. | 2026-09-08 | Cheng Lawrence | maybe director | $1.0M | +0.5% | — | — | — |
| SEI | Solaris Energy Infrastructure, Inc. | 2026-09-08 | TEAGUE AJ | maybe director | $501K | +9.1% | — | — | — |
Signal Summary
| Rating | Strategy | Signals |
|---|---|---|
| ★★★★★ | Conviction Bottom | 2 |
| ★★★★ | Informed Accumulation | 1 |
| ★★★★ | Fresh Conviction Entry | 0 |
| ★★★ | Momentum Confirmation | 0 |
| ★★ | Fallen Knife w/ Insider Backstop | 0 |
Generated 2026-09-12 · Strategies based on backtests 2021–2026 on US insider purchases