Insider Signal Report — 2026-05-22
Scan covers trade_date 2026-05-17 → 2026-05-22 | 16 qualifying trades scanned | 3 signals detected
★★★★★ Conviction Bottom
Criteria: C-Suite ≥$1M + Prior 30d −10% to −20%
C-suite executive (CEO/CFO/COO/CTO/President/Chairman) buying ≥$1M after the stock declined 10–20% in the prior 30 calendar days. Most robust combined signal in the dataset: ~58–63% win rate, EV +35–40% at 12–15m. Near-term pain is expected — must hold full 12 months.
Target Hold: 12–15 months
| Ticker | Company | Trade Date | Insider | Title | Value | Prior 30d | C-Suite | New Pos | Also Qualifies |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NCLH | Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd. | 2026-05-22 | CHIDSEY JOHN | President and CEO | $2.5M | -14.3% | ✓ | ✓ | S3 |
★★★★ Informed Accumulation
Criteria: Repeat Buyer + Prior 30d −10% to −20%
Insider with a prior purchase in the same ticker within 2 years, adding to position after a 10–20% pullback. Deep institutional knowledge + deliberate price discipline. EV ~20–30%+ at 12–15m. Cross-check business quality — serial buyers into structural decline are noise.
Target Hold: 12–15 months
| Ticker | Company | Trade Date | Insider | Title | Value | Prior 30d | C-Suite | New Pos | Also Qualifies |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MP | MP Materials Corp. / DE | 2026-05-20 | Rosenthal Michael Stuart | Chief Operating Officer | $963K | -14.7% | ✓ | — | — |
★★★ Momentum Confirmation
Criteria: Insider Buy After >+10% Prior Month
Any insider buying ≥$200k after the stock already moved up >10% in the prior month. Counter-intuitive but data-backed: exec sees real fundamental improvement behind the move. EV +17–34% through 9m — exit at 9m as performance degrades past that point.
Target Hold: 6–9 months
| Ticker | Company | Trade Date | Insider | Title | Value | Prior 30d | C-Suite | New Pos | Also Qualifies |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AAT | American Assets Trust, Inc. | 2026-05-22 | RADY ERNEST S | Executive Chairman | $227K | +10.4% | ✓ | — | — |
Notable Buys — No Strategy Match
Trades ≥$500,000 that didn't meet any strategy filter. Often in the −5% to 0% prior-return zone (weakest bucket) or missing price data.
| Ticker | Company | Trade Date | Insider | Title | Value | Prior 30d | C-Suite | New Pos | Also Qualifies |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FBIN | Fortune Brands Innovations, Inc. | 2026-05-19 | GARDEN EDWARD P | maybe director | $15.7M | -19.3% | — | ✓ | — |
| AAT | American Assets Trust, Inc. | 2026-05-18 | RADY ERNEST S | Executive Chairman | $3.2M | +1.1% | ✓ | — | — |
| MELI | MERCADOLIBRE INC | 2026-05-22 | Aguzin Alejandro Nicolas | maybe director | $994K | -10.6% | — | ✓ | — |
| GEHC | GE HealthCare Technologies Inc. | 2026-05-22 | Lobo Kevin | maybe director | $642K | -10.0% | — | ✓ | — |
Signal Summary
| Rating | Strategy | Signals |
|---|---|---|
| ★★★★★ | Conviction Bottom | 1 |
| ★★★★ | Informed Accumulation | 1 |
| ★★★★ | Fresh Conviction Entry | 0 |
| ★★★ | Momentum Confirmation | 1 |
| ★★ | Fallen Knife w/ Insider Backstop | 0 |
Generated 2026-05-22 · Strategies based on backtests 2021–2026 on US insider purchases